Like Dawn of the Dragons Community on Facebook! Like Dawn of the Dragons Mobile Community on Facebook!
Page 3 of 3 FirstFirst 123
Results 41 to 44 of 44

Thread: MP math help please - I think I got screwed over by at least a factor of two

  1. #41
    Sister of Radiance Thalain's Avatar
    Join Date
    Dec 2013
    Location
    Germany
    Posts
    382


    My Platform(s)
    Multiple
    Rep Power
    5
    If it first rolled the tier with the stated 10/20/30/40 distribution and then the item in the tier (rerolling within the tier), a MP with all but one top row item unique would yield endless free PC after an initial investment. You'd have 10% chance at the red bag once you have all the uniques. The red bag's average value is 75 x .4 + 150 x .3 + 250 x .2 + 1000 x .1 or 287.5 PC. At 10 tries average to get one, you'd spend 150 PC to get those 287.5 PC - a positive expectation.

  2. #42
    Sargaash the Mighty equal Ahlyis's Avatar
    Join Date
    Feb 2013
    Location
    Hiding in a dark corner of your mind - sure is roomy in here!
    Posts
    4,934


    My Platform(s)
    Newgrounds
    Rep Power
    11
    Quote Originally Posted by Thalain View Post
    If it first rolled the tier with the stated 10/20/30/40 distribution and then the item in the tier (rerolling within the tier), a MP with all but one top row item unique would yield endless free PC after an initial investment. You'd have 10% chance at the red bag once you have all the uniques. The red bag's average value is 75 x .4 + 150 x .3 + 250 x .2 + 1000 x .1 or 287.5 PC. At 10 tries average to get one, you'd spend 150 PC to get those 287.5 PC - a positive expectation.
    Additionally, it would require there to be a non-unique item on every tier. If it worked that way, the game would crash (or at least get stuck in an endless loop) with those relic packs that have all unique items in tiers 1, 2 and 3 and troops in tier 4.
    Azure Bonds on NAG has risen from the dead! We are now a level 10 guild with full guild shop access. Come join us!

  3. #43
    Silver Arrow LordRaven's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jun 2014
    Location
    Normally World Chat, just seeing who can get upset.
    Posts
    195


    My Platform(s)
    Newgrounds
    Rep Power
    4
    Quote Originally Posted by Ahlyis View Post
    I know you are just trolling, but whatever. I'm bored at work...

    There's just a slight difference between "throw a coin 100 times and tally how many heads you got." and "throw a coin 1 time and add it to an already existing result of 99 tails". Your position requires us to ignore the probability involved with having obtained those 99 consecutive tails. You just want to take them as a given and then say only the last throw matters and it is 50-50 therefore the entire process was 50-50.

    Again, I know you're being a massive troll here and I shouldn't feed you, but as I said, I'm bored.

    *shrug*
    But who said anything about those two scientific tests before you? Add on, didn't you just say it wasn't 50/50?! Ah, who cares! I am the troll saying flipping a coin does not yield a 50/50 chance for heads or tails!

    *shrug*

    Sycall, Angel of Death of Dawn.

    Quest Zone, Generals, Legion, World Raid: Created by Sycall. http://www.dawnofthedragons.com/foru...-WR-and-Legion

  4. #44
    Sargaash the Mighty equal Ahlyis's Avatar
    Join Date
    Feb 2013
    Location
    Hiding in a dark corner of your mind - sure is roomy in here!
    Posts
    4,934


    My Platform(s)
    Newgrounds
    Rep Power
    11
    Quote Originally Posted by LordRaven View Post
    Ah, who cares!
    Works for me.
    Azure Bonds on NAG has risen from the dead! We are now a level 10 guild with full guild shop access. Come join us!

Page 3 of 3 FirstFirst 123

Similar Threads

  1. Addressing the Power Creep/Jog/Sprint Factor
    By Workaholic in forum Game Mechanics Suggestions
    Replies: 0
    Last Post: 17th August 2015, 18:58
  2. Legion Factor
    By GriffonSpade in forum Game Mechanics Suggestions
    Replies: 15
    Last Post: 13th May 2015, 01:13
  3. Raids fun-factor restoring solution
    By Tricky_Fox in forum Future Releases Suggestions
    Replies: 7
    Last Post: 20th July 2013, 18:49
  4. IS FB screwed up for anyone else right now???
    By GusterD in forum Off-Topic
    Replies: 1
    Last Post: 17th December 2010, 18:43
  5. Does defense stats factor in Raid boss damage?
    By Deverlion (Rhys Ng) in forum General Discussions
    Replies: 11
    Last Post: 27th October 2010, 03:03

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •